Wednesday, 31 January 2018

Budget Postive: An additional 2 crore toilets. Stock Priority [P3]

Budget Postive: An additional 2 crore toilets. Stock Priority [P3]

The Swachh Bharat Mission seems to flying strong, having already resulted in 6 crore toilets being constructed across the country. An additional 2 crore toilets will be made in the next 2 years and this should go a long way in addressing the crucial issue of open defecation, especially in rural areas.

Stock reference:

Update on Priority Pick P-3. Revised short term target, SL & Buy range.

[Priority] This Microcap can triple your capital in less than 2 years.



source http://gale.in/budget-postive-an-additional-2-crore-toilets-stock-priority-p3/

Budget positive: Fishery. Shares: Avanti Feeds and Waterbase.

FM proposes to extend kisan credit card to fisheries & animal husbandry farmers and allocate Rs 10,000 cr for fisheries & aquaculture, animal husbandry funds.

Budget positive: Fishery. Shares: Avanti Feeds and Waterbase.



source http://gale.in/budget-positive-fishery-shares-avanti-feeds-and-waterbase/

Decent numbers: NOCIL. Share price 206. Target & SL intact.

Decent numbers: NOCIL. Share price 206. Target & SL intact.

Target 275. 3 months. SL 185.

Earlier call:

NOCIL hits target of 222. Hold for a revised target of 275. 3 months.



source http://gale.in/decent-numbers-nocil-share-price-206-target-sl-intact/

Do’s and don’ts of trading on budget day

Do’s and don’ts of trading on budget day

The word “budget” is derived from the French word “Bougette” which means “Small Bag”. It is adopted from the British, who used to carry a budget box since the 1980’s. The first finance Minister who carried the briefcase was RK Shanmukham Chetty in his first budget speech in 1947.

A risk averse person always opts to stay out of trading on the budget day because of the volatility factor and quick decision making. But there are other people who wait for opportunities like this to start trading in the market on specific events like the budget.

One thing you need to remember is that budget day carries a lot of weight age in stock price movement and decision making. So no matter what strategy you have entered before the budget day, the current announcements made in the budget will impact your strategy. Long term investors should not really bother too much but must keep an eye on announcements that can change the course or future of a stock or the industry. In-fact, if such news are likely to be announced in the budget, you will get feelers in advance itself and take necessary corrective action.

Volatility – Volatility in the market on budget day will be high for sure. One announcement can see a very swift and steep fall or rise in the market. As the markets move very swiftly, it will get harder to trade. So, do your research well in advance and keep all your strategies ready for any type of announcement.

Margins – Now, brokers collect margins to cover the risk of high volatility during the budget. This year the margins are likely to be even higher than you years gone by. SEBI has directed the exchanges to collect higher margins from the broker because the markets are at an all-time high and the volatility in the markets is higher, the risk is higher and so the regulators do not want cases of default by clients or brokers. So, if you plan to invest on the budget day be prepared to pay higher initial margins and also you would need some additional funds due to higher chances of MTM margin calls.

Risk and reward – The capital you have invested on budget day is at a higher risk than in a regular market. The reward you receive is not as high as the risk you are willing to take. So you take higher risk with a chance of not as high return. But the gains you will get is very fast. Even though the reward is lower but the time involved is lesser. So it does make sense when you get rewards faster.

Entry Price – The ideal price at which you want to enter the market may or may not be available on budget day. There are too many announcements on that day and the dust will take time to settle. So, have some patience but do keep additional room for the froth in the market where prices are not ideal and yet settling.



source http://gale.in/dos-and-donts-of-trading-on-budget-day/

Tuesday, 30 January 2018

Update on P7 results. Flat numbers & poor buyback price. SL intact.

Update on P7 results. Flat numbers & poor buyback price. SL intact.

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source http://gale.in/update-on-p7-results-flat-numbers-poor-buyback-price-sl-intact/

Sunday, 28 January 2018

Decent numbers: Persistent Systems. Share price: 790. Target 1000. SL 685.

Decent numbers: Persistent Systems. Share price: 790. Target 1000. SL 685.

Any dips towards 720-750 should be bought into.



source http://gale.in/decent-numbers-persistent-systems-share-price-790-target-1000-sl-685/

Portfolio pick: Container Corp. Decent results & better sector outlook.

Portfolio pick: Container Corp. Decent results & better sector outlook.

Stock price: 1440. Buy range: 1350-1395. Target 1600 in 3 months and 2000 in 1 year.

Stock is technically over-bought, 6-8% dips from highs can be bought into. SL can be maintained at 1250.

Stock SIP can be done in this stock for a year.



source http://gale.in/portfolio-pick-container-corp-decent-results-better-sector-outlook/

Monday, 22 January 2018

How to pick Stocks for maximum returns in Indian Stock market?

How to pick Stocks for maximum returns in Indian Stock market?

Make a portfolio of certain stocks with the following criteria:

Stock must be in top 3 Margin% in its industry. (Stock having strong margins are the industrial leaders with demand for investment.)

Stock must be in top 3 ROCE/ROE in its industry. (Stocks with better ROCE/ROE are the stocks with best management and can help investors with Good returns.)

Stock must be have low PE ratio in its industry. (Stock with low PE ratio has not priced-in the future returns of the company, more chances to find quality investors and have more changes to post multibagger returns on quality results.)

Stock must have low Price to Book in its industry. (P/B is one of the evaluation factor to identify if the stock has run up too much in recent times. Avoid P/B above 10–12)

Stock must have low EV/EBITA (Stock given multibagger returns in short span will have this value higher. Less the value, more space the stock has to rally in the near future. Avoid EV/EBITA above 20.)

The above Portfolio will give you maximum returns.

There are 3 phases in a stock’s multibagger rally.

Rally to cover basic EPS of the share.
Rally to cover the Next one year EPS of the share.
Rally to cover the next 3 years EPS of the share.

Let me explain in Brief

Let us assume a stock is trading at 120, Industrial PE: 12 and EPS over last 4 quarters as Rs. 3 each quarter. Annual EPS is 12.

Current Trailing PE is 120/12= 10 which is cheaper compared to Industry. Stock can rally 20%.

Once a quarterly results come with a EPS of 4. then Trailing EPS becomes 13.

Current Trailing PE becomes 120/13= 9.23. which is cheaper compared to other Stocks in the industry with upside of 30%.

Some investors think what if the stock can post same results for next 3 quarters with EPS of 4 per quarter. Then Annual EPS becomes 16.

PE after 9 months becomes= 120/16 = 7.5. Which is cheaper compared to the industrial PE of 12 and has upside of 60%.

After 3 months:

If the results shows growth in sales, profits and EPS for the quarter is posted at 5.

PE for the annualized EPS of 5 become= 120/20=6. Which is cheaper to its industry and has 100% upside.

Just in 4th month, the stock has 100% upside.

This is how our stock picks like Bhansali Engg, Sanwaria Agro, etc rallied more than 300%.

So where you should invest? You should invest in a fundamentally good stock where it already has a 20% upside compared the industry.

We have done such research and have made a list of stocks in our Priority list and making efforts to add at-least 2-3 such stocks every month to our Priority list.

Our Priority Stocks are up at an average of 30% while the NIFTY is up just 7% and the Small cap is up only 15%.

Priority Service from Gale.in at Rs. 5000 a year.



source http://gale.in/how-to-pick-stocks-for-maximum-returns-in-indian-stock-market/

Friday, 19 January 2018

Update on Spicejet. Stock remains oversold. Reversal confirms above 125.

Update on Spicejet. Stock remains oversold. Reversal confirms above 125.

We were suggesting that Spicejet is oversold between 125-130, Stock has not given reversal signal yet.

Reversal confirms above 125.

Target 139 and 154. SL 118. 1 to 3 months.

Call is technical and kindly buy only if the stock trades above 125 for a while.

reference call:

Technically oversold: Spicejet. Share Price: 130.4. Target 138.5, 145 & 154

 



source http://gale.in/update-on-spicejet-stock-remains-oversold-reversal-confirms-above-125/

Value Pick: Enter Ganesh Housing 150-160. SL 140. Target 220. 6 months.

Value Pick: Enter Ganesh Housing 150-160. SL 140. Target 220. 6 months.

BSE: 526367|NSE: GANESHHOUC

Potential Upside: 37%.

 



source http://gale.in/value-pick-enter-ganesh-housing-150-160-sl-140-target-220-6-months/

Wednesday, 17 January 2018

Cheers bulls. Market at Lifetime high. Update on market move.

Cheers bulls. Market at Lifetime high. Update on market move.

We anticipated correction in the market at yesterday’s open.

Broader market corrected yesterday, IT stocks had given a good support to the NIFTY.

We anticipated lesser correction in Banks and IT. Both the Indices had moved up while the broader market corrected.

This reminds me of cyclic move and correction by individual sectors instead of NIFTY as a whole.

FII are seen buying in cash during this month.

It is advised to pick quality stocks at good risk to reward ratio.

As already said, market is due correction with some bad news but today market correction was saved by a good news on Govt Borrowing front.

Never do panic selling or greedy buying. Happy evening!



source http://gale.in/cheers-bulls-market-at-lifetime-high-update-on-market-move/

Sunday, 14 January 2018

Triton Values hits target. Book 50% profits. Returns: 75%. Add on dips.

Triton Values hits target. Book 50% profits. Returns: 75%. Add on dips toward 2400-2500. SL 2200. Target revised to 3350.

For short term, the stock looks overbought and fundamental target almost hit.

On long term the stock being fairly valued for a multibagger returns, the stock should be added on dips towards 2400-2500. with SL of 2200.

Stock shall post results in the end of January.

Reference call:

Decent numbers from Triton Values BSE: 505978 Price 1595. Target 1950.

Triton valve up 9% today, hits target. Hold for revised target of 2800.



source http://gale.in/triton-values-hits-target-book-50-profits-returns-75-add-on-dips/

Technical tip: stocks that moves big intraday with good volumes is a good buy.

Technical tip: stocks that moves big intraday with good volumes is a good buy, always hold such stock and never sell it if you are a short term investors.

Short term investors (2-3 months) tend to sell stocks that rally above 5-8% intraday. You should be considering to hold the stock with a Trailing SL at Open price of the stock and hold it for few more days. Stock may correct or consolidate for few days above the Opening Price of the said day and move fresh.

When should one sell a stock that rallies big in short span?

1. Reversal on resistance while the technical indicators are overbought. Candle stick chart patterns like inverted hammer, shooting star, etc at resistances can be sold into.

2. Fundamental target met. Some times fundamental targets are met, 50% profits can be booked. Always fundamentally good stocks rally technically once fundamental targets are met. In such cases, short term investors should switch to technical charts, finding good trailing SL or a good near term target.



source http://gale.in/technical-tip-stocks-that-moves-big-intraday-with-good-volumes-is-a-good-buy/

Technically oversold: Spicejet. Share Price: 130.4. Target 138.5, 145 & 154

Technically oversold: Spicejet. Share Price: 130.4. Target 138.5,145 & 154.

SL 123. Confirmation on reversal: 2-3% intraday rally.

SL shall be revised post reversal confirmation. Stock may reverse anytime in next few days.

 

 

 



source http://gale.in/technically-oversold-spicejet-share-price-130-4-target-138-5145-154/

Thursday, 11 January 2018

Update on Dalmia Bharat Sugar. Stock bounces towards 145 as expected. Hold.

Update on Dalmia Bharat Sugar. Stock bounces towards 145 as expected. Hold.

Have Revised SL as 134. Target 152 & 160 in month can be hit.

Reference call:

Dalmia Bharat Sugar oversold. Stock likely to bounce towards 140-145.

 

 



source http://gale.in/update-on-dalmia-bharat-sugar-stock-bounces-towards-145-as-expected-hold/

Technical call: Enter Care Rating at 1400. Target 1700. SL 1280.

Technical call: Enter Care Rating at 1400. Target 1700. SL 1280.

Buy Range: 1360-1400.

Risk: 120; Reward: 300.

BSE: 534804

 



source http://gale.in/technical-call-enter-care-rating-at-1400-target-1700-sl-1280/

Update on Vindhya Telelink. Stock can slip into accumulation zone.

Update on Vindhya Telelink. Stock can slip into accumulation zone.

Fresh buying can be done in between 1150-1200. Target 1570 Intact. SL 1030.

6 months. On good results, stock target may be revised towards 1800.

Stock was recommended earlier at 770. Stock returns is 62% currently.

Stock is trading at an intermediate support at 1250, if stock breaks below 1240, stock can slip towards 1180.

Reference call:

Hold Vindhya Telelink above 1300. Target 1570. SL 1050. Add fresh on dips.



source http://gale.in/update-on-vindhya-telelink-stock-can-slip-into-accumulation-zone/

Monday, 8 January 2018

Technical call: Enter Deep Industries 218-225. Target 270. SL 202. 1 month.

Technical call: Enter Deep Industries 218-225. Target 270. SL 202. 1 month. 235 shall act as minor resistance.

Trendline break and Bollinger Squeeze has been triggered. Stock shall rally as long as Crude oil price stays higher.

Note: Results may affect stock target and SL.



source http://gale.in/technical-call-enter-deep-industries-218-225-target-270-sl-202-1-month/

Friday, 5 January 2018

Update on Priority Pick P-3. Revised short term target, SL & Buy range.

Update on Priority Pick P-3. Revised short term target, SL & Buy range.

This is in reference to our Priority Pick P-3 given on 11th October 2017.

[Priority] This Microcap can triple your capital in less than 2 years.

Returns till date 55%.

We are revising our SL and buy range post rally of 55%. Short term upside potential: 32% in 6 months.

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source http://gale.in/update-on-priority-pick-p-3-revised-short-term-target-sl-buy-range/

Update 4 on Priority Pick P-2. Revised Target, SL & Buy Range. 30% upside.

Update 4 on Priority Pick P-2. Revised Target, SL and Buy Range. 30% upside.

This Call is in reference to

[Priority] This Lesser known Chemical Company has 40% upside in 6 months.

Stock had hit our First target with returns of 40% and we had updated the target for another 20% upside, but the stock had later corrected due to some issues and we had to revise our target price, SL and Buy range.

With recent rally in the stock and in anticipation of good results in coming years, we are upgrading the target of the Priority Stock to 25x annualized PE.

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Priority Service from Gale.in at Rs. 5000 a year.

http://gale.in/category/priority/

 



source http://gale.in/update-4-on-priority-pick-p-2-revised-target-sl-buy-range-30-upside/

NOCIL hits target of 222. Hold for a revised target of 275. 3 months.

NOCIL hits target of 222. Hold for a revised target of 275. 3 months.

Stock was recommended to hold at 180 after flat numbers.

Stock is now trading at 25x. We are revising our target to 30x annualized recent quarterly EPS.

upgrading PE for fresh target is riskier while market corrects, so fresh investment should be avoided.

Add on dips towards 200-210. Target 275. SL 185. 3 months.

Anticipating good quarterly results in coming months.

Reference call:

Flat Numbers: NOCIL. Hold. Target 222. SL 162. Add on dips 175-180.



source http://gale.in/nocil-hits-target-of-222-hold-for-a-revised-target-of-275-3-months/

Wednesday, 3 January 2018

Triton valve up 9% today, hits target. Hold for revised target of 2800.

Triton valve up 9% today, hits target. Hold for revised target of 2800.

Recommended Price: 1595. Target hit, returns: 49%.

Momentum to carry stock towards 2600-2650. Add on any dips towards 2100-2200. Revised Target 2800. SL 2000.

Reference call:

Triton Values hits target. Revised Target 2400. SL 1700. Add on dips.

Decent numbers from Triton Values BSE: 505978 Price 1595. Target 1950.



source http://gale.in/triton-valve-up-9-today-hits-target-hold-for-revised-target-of-2800/

Tuesday, 2 January 2018

Book profits in NMDC in the range 150-155. Stock likely to consolidate.

Book profits in NMDC in the range 150-155. Stock likely to consolidate in the range 140-155 before it breaks out of 160 for a target of 190.

Buy on dips towards 140 if any, SL 128 or Buy above 160. SL 144. Target 190. 6 months.

Reference call:

Enter NMDC Share price 134. Target 175. SL 120. 3 months.

 



source http://gale.in/book-profits-in-nmdc-in-the-range-150-155-stock-likely-to-consolidate/

Target hit. Book complete profits in Force Motors. Profits: 21%. 2 weeks.

Target hit. Book complete profits in Force Motors. Profits: 21%. 2 weeks.

Reference call:

Force Motors oversold below 3000. Buy Above 3100. Target 3750. 6 months.



source http://gale.in/target-hit-book-complete-profits-in-force-motors-profits-21-2-weeks/

[Priority Pick: P12] Bet on results. upto 60% upside seen in 6 months.

[Priority Pick: P12] Bet on results. upto 60% upside seen in 6 months.

The stock has posted bad numbers due to higher ‘Other Expenses’ in last quarter. Stock is trading at 55x last quarterly EPS which is almost same as the PE of its peers.

We suppose that the last quarterly results are the worst numbers it can quote and stock is technically bottoming out.

We bet on better results from this stock which has good ROE/ROCE which lower margin.

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source http://gale.in/priority-pick-p12-bet-on-results-upto-60-upside-seen-in-6-months/

Prakash Industries hits target of 210. Returns: 80%. Book 50% profits.

Prakash Industries hits target of 210. Returns: 80%. Book 50% profits.

Strong momentum is found in the stock. Stock is likely to correct technically with the market in short term. Book 50% profits. Add on dips towards 180-190 for better risk to reward ratio. Revised Target 260. SL 165. 6 months.

Reference call:

Re-enter Prakash Ind (BSE: 506022) at 117. Target 156. SL 99. 3 months.

Decent Numbers: Prakash Ind. BSE: 506022. Price 140. Revised target 210.

Prakash Industries Breaks strong above 150. Target 210 Intact. SL 140.

 



source http://gale.in/prakash-industries-hits-target-of-210-returns-80-book-50-profits/

Monday, 1 January 2018

Update on Sanwaria Agro. Results to be out tomorrow. We are positive.

Update on Sanwaria Agro. Results to be out tomorrow. We are positive.

Stock had posted good numbers last quarter that triggered a multi-bagger rally from 7 to 30.

Since it does low margin business and has debt to equity above 2.44, it makes it a risky investment.

Last quarter the EPS was .29 and stock is trading at 25x annualised last quarterly EPS.

The stock can quote any EPS between .14 to .60 tomorrow. Which makes the target fair price very risky between 14 to 60 considering PE to remain at 25x.

The risk to reward ratio is at 1:2 with a risk of 50% and a reward of 100%.

We are expecting a better results with closer to .45 to .60 EPS. Which makes our target price 45 to 60.

Being a risky investment with risk at 50%, we recommend investors to reduce allocation to less than 5% of their portfolio.

Earlier call on Sanwaria: 

Update on Sanwaria Agro. Stock shall be in the range of our fair price: 23.

Sanwaria Agro on continuous upper circuit. Revised Target 29.

 

 



source http://gale.in/update-on-sanwaria-agro-results-to-be-out-tomorrow-we-are-positive/